Cover image for Statistical methods in counterterrorism : game theory, modeling, syndromic surveillance, and biometric authentication
Title:
Statistical methods in counterterrorism : game theory, modeling, syndromic surveillance, and biometric authentication
Publication Information:
New York, NY : Springer-Verlag, 2006
ISBN:
9780387329048

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30000010159158 HV6432 S72 2006 Open Access Book Book
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Summary

Summary

All the data was out there to warn us of this impending attack, why didn't we see it?" This was a frequently asked question in the weeks and months after the terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on September 11, 2001. In the wake of the attacks, statisticians moved quickly to become part of the national response to the global war on terror. This book is an overview of the emerging research program at the intersection of national security and statistical sciences. A wide range of talented researchers address issues in

- Syndromic Surveillance---How do we detect and recognize bioterrorist events?

- Modeling and Simulation---How do we better understand and explain complex processes so that decision makers can take the best course of action?

- Biometric Authentication---How do we pick the terrorist out of the crowd of faces or better match the passport to the traveler?

- Game Theory---How do we understand the rules that terrorists are playing by?

This book includes technical treatments of statistical issues that will be of use to quantitative researchers as well as more general examinations of quantitative approaches to counterterrorism that will be accessible to decision makers with stronger policy backgrounds.

Dr. Alyson G. Wilson is a statistician and the technical lead for DoD programs in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. Gregory D. Wilson is a rhetorician and ethnographer in the Statistical Sciences Group at Los Alamos National Laboratory. Dr. David H. Olwell is chair of the Department of Systems Engineering at the Naval Postgraduate School in Monterey, California.


Table of Contents

Ronald D. Fricker, Jr.David L. Banks and Steven AndersonVicki BierDavid L. BanksSinjini MitraAndrew L. RukhinHenry RolkaGalit Shmueli and Stephen E. FienbergMichael A. Stoto and Ronald D. Fricker, Jr. and Arvind Jain and Alexis Diamond and John O. Davies-Cole and Chevelle Glymph and Gebreyesus Kidane and Garrett Lum and La Verne Jones and Kerda Dehan and Christine YuanLaura Forsberg and Caroline Jeffery and Al Ozonoff and Marcello PaganoWendy L. MartinezSarah Michalak and Gregory WilsonWilliam K. Sieber and James S. Bennett and Abera Wouhib and Joe Fred Gonzalez, Jr. and Myron J. Katzoff and Stanley A. ShulmanAlan F. Karr and Xiaodong Lin and Ashish P. Sanil and Jerome P. ReiterTom Burr and James Gattiker and Mark Mullen and George Tompkins
Part I Game Theory
Game Theory in an Age of Terrorism: How Can Statisticians Contribute?p. 3
Combining Game Theory and Risk Analysis in Counterterrorism: A Smallpox Examplep. 9
Game-Theoretic and Reliability Methods in Counterterrorism and Securityp. 23
Part II Biometric Authentication
Biometric Authenticationp. 43
Towards Statistically Rigorous Biometric Authentication Using Facial Imagesp. 47
Recognition Problem of Biometrics: Nonparametric Dependence Measures and Aggregated Algorithmsp. 81
Part III Syndromic Surveillance
Data Analysis Research Issues and Emerging Public Health Biosurveillance Directionsp. 101
Current and Potential Statistical Methods for Monitoring Multiple Data Streams for Biosurveillancep. 109
Evaluating Statistical Methods for Syndromic Surveillancep. 141
A Spatiotemporal Analysis of Syndromic Data for Biosurveillancep. 173
Part IV Modeling
Modeling and Simulation for Defense and National Securityp. 195
Modeling and Parameterization for a Smallpox Simulation Studyp. 199
Approaches to Modeling the Concentration Field for Adaptive Sampling of Contaminants during Site Decontaminationp. 215
Secure Statistical Analysis of Distributed Databasesp. 237
Statistical Evaluation of the Impact of Background Suppression on the Sensitivity of Passive Radiation Detectorsp. 263
Indexp. 281