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Cover image for Managing risk in construction projects
Title:
Managing risk in construction projects
Personal Author:
Edition:
2nd ed.
Publication Information:
Oxford : Blackwell Publishing, 2006
ISBN:
9781405130127

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Library
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Call Number
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Item Category 1
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30000010099633 TH438 S64 2006 Open Access Book Book
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30000010099637 TH438 S64 2006 Open Access Book Book
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Summary

Summary

Written by a group of academics and practitioners, this guide is for construction practitioners having to manage real projects. It shows how the risk management process improves decision making in conditions of uncertainty.

This new edition includes the input of the Turnbull report, as well as to introduce the concept of corporate, strategic business, and project level risk.

The authors cover:

* a description of risk management and decision making in the context of a construction project

* the human dimension

* tools and techniques available to the risk analyst

* the problems of procurement and finance

* the practical application of risk analysis, including the principles of risk modelling and simulation, together wit case studies.

A thorough understanding of these concepts will provide the project manager with the basis for effective decision making.

From the reviews of the first edition:

'This book should be compulsory reading for all concerned with the management of risk in construction - whether academics or practitioners.'

Chartered Surveyor Monthly

'A valuable addition to the literature ... which helps condense, simplify and provide practical advice on how to implement risk management on construction projects.'


Author Notes

Nigel Smith is Professor of Transport Infrastructure & Project Management at the School of Civil Engineering, University of Leeds.

Tony Merna is a lecturer in Civil & Construction Engineering, School of Mechanical, Aerospace and Civil Engineering., University of Manchester.

Paul Jobling is a Senior Professional Associate and Project Director Risk Management at Parsons Brinckerhoff.


Table of Contents

Prefacep. ix
Authors Biographiesp. x
Acknowledgementsp. xii
1 Projects and Riskp. 1
1.1 Construction projectsp. 1
1.2 Decision makingp. 2
1.3 Risk management strategyp. 5
1.4 Project planningp. 6
1.5 Summaryp. 7
2 The Project Environmentp. 9
2.1 Projectsp. 9
2.2 The project constitutionp. 11
2.3 Project organisationp. 13
2.4 Project phasesp. 15
2.5 Effect of project phase on riskp. 18
2.6 Project appraisalp. 20
2.7 Summaryp. 22
3 Understanding the Human Aspectsp. 24
3.1 Risk management - peoplep. 25
3.2 Risk management - organisationsp. 26
3.3 The risk management processp. 27
3.4 Some guidelines to the risk management processp. 28
3.5 The risk workshopp. 30
3.6 Communicationp. 33
3.7 Summaryp. 34
4 Risk and Value Managementp. 36
4.1 Introductionp. 36
4.2 Approaches to the management of riskp. 37
4.3 The standard risk management modelp. 40
4.4 Applying risk and value managementp. 41
4.5 Value management processesp. 43
4.6 Understanding the project riskp. 44
4.7 Applying value and risk managementp. 52
4.8 Iteration of the processp. 54
4.9 Summaryp. 55
5 Qualitative Methods and Soft Systems Methodologyp. 57
5.1 Qualitative risk assessmentp. 57
5.2 Review of project programmes and budgetsp. 57
5.3 The risk logp. 60
5.4 Using a risk log to formulate risk management strategyp. 62
5.5 Qualitative methodsp. 64
5.6 Soft systems methodologyp. 66
5.7 Case study: SSM in the use of the placement of construction projectsp. 68
5.8 Summaryp. 77
6 Quantitative Methods for Risk Analysisp. 78
6.1 Sanctionp. 78
6.2 Project appraisal and selectionp. 79
6.3 Project evaluationp. 82
6.4 Engineering risksp. 84
6.5 Risk managementp. 87
6.6 Probabilistic analysisp. 89
6.7 Response to risksp. 92
6.8 Successful risk managementp. 93
6.9 Principles of contingency fund estimationp. 94
7 The Contribution of Information Technology to Risk Modelling and Simulationp. 102
7.1 Purpose of RMSp. 103
7.2 When to use RMSp. 103
7.3 Requirements of the analystp. 105
7.4 Modelling and simulationp. 105
7.5 Modelling using RMSp. 107
7.6 Data managementp. 108
7.7 Analytical mechanismsp. 108
7.8 Classification of RMSp. 110
7.9 Selection of RMSp. 111
7.10 Modelling a project for risk managementp. 113
7.11 Data requirements for realistic modellingp. 115
7.12 Choice of variable distributionp. 117
7.13 Case studyp. 118
7.14 Case study simulationsp. 125
7.15 Analysis of the resultp. 128
7.16 Discussion of findingsp. 134
7.17 Summaryp. 134
8 Risk Allocation in the Contracting and Procurement Cyclep. 136
8.1 Typical contracting and procurement processesp. 136
8.2 Value planning case studyp. 140
8.3 Known and unknown risks in contractsp. 142
8.4 Risk allocation strategiesp. 145
8.5 Risk allocation according to payment mechanismp. 156
8.6 Contract awardp. 160
8.7 Summaryp. 163
9 Managing Financial Risks in Major Construction and PFI Projectsp. 164
9.1 Project financingp. 164
9.2 Types of financep. 166
9.3 Appraisal and validity of financing projectsp. 171
9.4 Typical financial risksp. 174
9.5 Promoterp. 176
9.6 Financial risk in concession contractsp. 177
9.7 Global and elemental risks in concession contractsp. 180
9.8 Summaryp. 186
10 Risk Management at Corporate, Strategic Business and Project Levelsp. 187
10.1 Introductionp. 187
10.2 Risk managementp. 188
10.3 The risk management processp. 189
10.4 Benefits of risk managementp. 191
10.5 Recognising risksp. 191
10.6 Why risk management is usedp. 193
10.7 Model for risk management at corporate, strategic business and project levelsp. 194
10.8 Summaryp. 200
11 Case Studiesp. 202
11.1 Introductionp. 202
11.2 Case study - cruise ship design and fabrication programme risk assessmentp. 203
11.3 Risk identificationp. 204
11.4 The Channel Tunnel Rail Link (CTRL)p. 208
11.5 Brief history of the CTRLp. 209
11.6 The risk management processp. 212
11.7 Risk assessment, analysis and responsep. 219
11.8 Summary of the preliminary schedule risk analysis resultsp. 225
12 Guidance in Practical Risk Managementp. 229
12.1 Decision makingp. 229
12.2 Preparation for risk managementp. 230
12.3 Risk identificationp. 232
12.4 Risk analysisp. 232
12.5 Risk outputsp. 233
12.6 Modelsp. 237
12.7 Communicationp. 238
12.8 Summaryp. 238
Indexp. 240
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