Cover image for Thinking : psychological perspectives on reasoning, judgment, and decision making
Title:
Thinking : psychological perspectives on reasoning, judgment, and decision making
Publication Information:
Hoboken, NJ : Wiley, 2003
ISBN:
9780471494577

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30000010052995 BF441 T44 2003 Open Access Book Book
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Summary

Summary

The first international handbook to bring the areas of reasoning,judgment and decision making together, now in paperback format.

The book brings three of the important topics of thinkingtogether - reasoning, judgment and decision making â? anddiscusses key issues in each area. The studies described range fromthose that are purely laboratory based to those that involveexperts making real world judgments, in areas such as medical andlegal decision making and political and economic forecasting.
* International collection of original chapters by leadingresearchers in the field
* Several chapters contain important new theoreticalperspectives
* Paperback version is more affordable for individualresearchers


Author Notes

Edited by Dr David Hardman, London Metropolitan University, UK and Professor Laura Macchi, University of Milan-Bicocca, Italy.


Table of Contents

List of Contributors
Introduction
Part I Reasoning
Chapter 1 A Theory of Hypothetical ThinkingJonathan St. B.T. Evans and David E. Over and Simon J. Handley
Chapter 2 Individual Differences in the Development of Reasoning StrategiesMaxwell J. Roberts and Elizabeth J. Newton
Chapter 3 Generalising Individual Differences and Strategies Across Different Deductive Reasoning DomainsPadraic Monaghan and Keith Stenning
Chapter 4 Superordinate Principles, Conditions and ConditionalsNeil Fairley and Ken Manktelow
Chapter 5 Premise Interpretation in Conditional ReasoningGuy Politzer
Chapter 6 Probabilities and Pragmatics in Conditional Inference: Suppression and Order EffectsMike Oaksford and Nick Chater
Part II Judgment
Chapter 7 Verbal Expressions of Uncertainty and ProbabilityKarl Halvor Teigen and Wibecke Brun
Chapter 8 Possibilities and ProbabilitiesPaolo Legrenzi and Vittorio Girotto and Maria Sonino Legrenzi and Philip N. Johnson-Laird
Chapter 9 The Partitive Conditional ProbabilityLaura Macchi
Chapter 10 Naive and yet Enlightened: From Natural Frequencies to Fast and Frugal Decision TreesLaura Martignon and Oliver Vitouch and Masanori Takezawa and Malcolm R. Forster
Chapter 11 More is not Always Better: The Benefits of Cognitive LimitsRalph Hertwig and Peter M. Todd
Chapter 12 Correspondence and Coherence: Indicators of Good Judgment in World PoliticsPhilip E. Tetlock
Part III Decision Making
Chapter 13 Cognitive Mapping of Causal Reasoning in Strategic Decision MakingA. John Maule and Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Nicola J. Bown
Chapter 14 Belief and Preference in Decision Under UncertaintyCraig R. Fox and Kelly E. See
Chapter 15 Medical Decision Scripts: Combining Cognitive Scripts and Judgment Strategies to Account Fully for Medical Decision MakingRobert M. Hamm
Chapter 16 On the Assessment of Decision Quality: Considerations Regarding Utility, Conflict and AccountabilityGideon Keren and Wandi Bruine de Bruin
Author Index
Subject Index