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Summary
Summary
The right tools to guide real decisions
When you're climbing a mountain, you have to carefully consider every step if you want to reach your goal. You need to know how your tools will actually perform on the mountain. It also helps to have a trusted guide who knows the way.
The same holds true in today's highly competitive, global business environments. The decisions managers make are more complex and critical than ever before. You need to understand how to use economic analysis techniques to make real business decisions.
When it comes to making real-life decisions based on sound economic analysis, there is no better guide than Samuelson and & Marks's Managerial Economics, 5th Edition. Featuring many detailed, real-world examples, as well as strong coverage of decision making under uncertainty, game theory, and international topics, this practical text equips you with the right tools you need to make smart decisions.
New in the Fifth Edition
* Updated and revised chapters on making decisions under uncertainty (Chapters 8 and 9).
* New discussions of behavioral economics, including such issues as bounded rationality, sunk-cost fallacies, decision-making heuristics and biases, and the winner's curse.
* Updated and expanded coverage of corporate incentives and governance.
* Incorporates new developments in the areas of technological change, network economies, and internet economics.
* Updated applications and revised end-of-chapter problems.
Author Notes
William F. Samuelson is professor of economics and finance at Boston University School of Management. He received his B.A. and Ph.D. from Harvard University. His research interests include game theory, decision theory, bidding, bargaining, and experimental economics. He has published a variety of articles in leading economics and management science journals including The American Economic Review, the Quarterly Journal of Economics, Econometrica, the Journal of Finance, Management Science, and Operations Research. His teaching and research have been sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute for Dispute resolution, among others. He is currently on the editorial boards of the Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization and Group Decision and Negotiation.
Stephen G. Marks is associate professor of law at Boston University. He received his J.D., M.A., and Ph.D. from the University of California-Berkeley. He has taught in the areas of managerial economics, finance, corporate law, and securities regulation. his research interests include corporate governance, law and economics, finance, and information theory. He has published his research in various law reviews and in such journals as the American Economic Review, The Journal of Legal Studies, and The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis.
Table of Contents
Chapter 1 Introduction to Economic Decision Making | p. 1 |
Eight Examples of Managerial Decisions | p. 2 |
Six Steps to Decision Making | p. 7 |
Step 1 Define the Problem | p. 7 |
Step 2 Determine the Objective | p. 8 |
Step 3 Explore the Alternatives | p. 10 |
Step 4 Predict the Consequences | p. 11 |
Step 5 Make a Choice | p. 13 |
Step 6 Perform Sensitivity Analysis | p. 14 |
Private and Public Decisions: An Economic View | p. 15 |
Public Goals | p. 17 |
Things to Come | p. 19 |
The Aim of This Book | p. 21 |
Section I Decisions within Firms | p. 27 |
Chapter 2 Optimal Decisions Using Marginal Analysis | p. 29 |
Siting a Shopping Mall | p. 30 |
A Simple Model of the Firm | p. 32 |
A Microchip Manufacturer | p. 33 |
Marginal Analysis | p. 40 |
Marginal Analysis and Calculus | p. 42 |
Marginal Revenue and Marginal Cost | p. 44 |
Marginal Revenue | p. 46 |
Marginal Cost | p. 47 |
Profit Maximization Revisited | p. 47 |
Sensitivity Analysis | p. 50 |
Asking What If | p. 50 |
Appendix to Chapter 2: Calculus and Optimization Techniques | p. 64 |
Special Appendix to Chapter 2: Optimization Using Spreadsheets | p. 75 |
Chapter 3 Demand Analysis and Optimal Pricing | p. 79 |
Determinants of Demand | p. 80 |
The Demand Function | p. 80 |
The Demand Curve and Shifting Demand | p. 82 |
General Determinants of Demand | p. 84 |
Elasticity of Demand | p. 86 |
Price Elasticity | p. 86 |
Other Elasticities | p. 91 |
Price Elasticity and Prediction | p. 93 |
Demand Analysis and Optimal Pricing | p. 94 |
Price Elasticity, Revenue, and Marginal Revenue | p. 94 |
Maximizing Revenue | p. 97 |
Optimal Markup Pricing | p. 101 |
Price Discrimination | p. 104 |
Information Goods | p. 108 |
Appendix to Chapter 3: Consumer Preferences and Demands | p. 123 |
Special Appendix to Chapter 3: Interdependent Demand | p. 131 |
Chapter 4 Estimating Demand | p. 134 |
Sources of Information | p. 136 |
Consumer Interviews and Surveys | p. 136 |
Controlled Market Studies | p. 141 |
Uncontrolled Market Data | p. 143 |
Regression Analysis | p. 144 |
Ordinary Least-Squares Regression | p. 145 |
Interpreting Regression Statistics | p. 152 |
Potential Problems in Regression | p. 158 |
Choosing a Regression Equation | p. 164 |
Appendix to Chapter 4: Regression Using Spreadsheets | p. 174 |
Special Appendix to Chapter 4: Statistical Tables | p. 179 |
Chapter 5 Forecasting | p. 182 |
Time-Series Models | p. 183 |
Decomposing Time Series | p. 183 |
Fitting a Simple Trend | p. 186 |
The Effect of Today on Tomorrow | p. 189 |
Barometric Models | p. 196 |
Econometric Models | p. 197 |
A Simple Macromodel | p. 198 |
Forecasting Accuracy | p. 202 |
Chapter 6 Production | p. 214 |
Basic Production Concepts | p. 215 |
Production Technology | p. 215 |
Production with One Variable Input | p. 217 |
Short-Run and Long-Run Production | p. 217 |
Optimal Use of an Input | p. 221 |
Production in the Long Run | p. 223 |
Returns to Scale | p. 224 |
Least-Cost Production | p. 226 |
Measuring Production Functions | p. 234 |
Linear Production | p. 234 |
Production with Fixed Proportions | p. 235 |
Polynomial Functions | p. 235 |
The Cobb-Douglas Function | p. 236 |
Estimating Production Functions | p. 237 |
Other Production Decisions | p. 238 |
Multiple Plants | p. 239 |
Multiple Products | p. 240 |
Chapter 7 Cost Analysis | p. 252 |
Relevant Costs | p. 253 |
Opportunity Costs and Economic Profits | p. 253 |
Fixed and Sunk Costs | p. 257 |
Profit Maximization with Limited Capacity: Ordering a Best-Seller | p. 259 |
The Cost of Production | p. 261 |
Short-Run Costs | p. 262 |
Long-Run Costs | p. 266 |
Returns to Scale, Scope, and Learning | p. 271 |
Returns to Scale | p. 271 |
Economies of Scope | p. 276 |
The Learning Curve | p. 279 |
Cost Analysis and Optimal Decisions | p. 282 |
A Single Product | p. 282 |
The Shut-Down Rule | p. 284 |
Multiple Products | p. 286 |
Appendix to Chapter 7: Transfer Pricing | p. 301 |
Special Appendix to Chapter 7: Short-Run and Long-Run Costs | p. 305 |
Chapter 8 Decision Making under Uncertainty | p. 307 |
Uncertainty, Probability, and Expected Value | p. 308 |
Expected Value | p. 310 |
Decision Trees | p. 311 |
An Oil Drilling Problem | p. 311 |
Features of the Expected-Value Criterion | p. 314 |
Sequential Decisions | p. 319 |
Risk Aversion | p. 325 |
Expected Utility | p. 328 |
Expected Utility and Risk Aversion | p. 333 |
Nonmonetary Examples | p. 336 |
Chapter 9 The Value of Information | p. 351 |
The Value of Information | p. 352 |
The Oil Wildcatter Revisited | p. 352 |
Imperfect Information | p. 354 |
Revising Probabilities | p. 357 |
Bayes' Theorem | p. 358 |
Other Applications | p. 361 |
The Science of Baseball | p. 362 |
Predicting Credit Risks | p. 363 |
Intuitive Prediction | p. 365 |
Illustrative Prediction Problems | p. 366 |
Answers to the Prediction Problems | p. 367 |
Optimal Search | p. 370 |
Optimal Stopping | p. 370 |
Optimal Sequential Decisions | p. 373 |
The Value of Additional Alternatives | p. 374 |
Simultaneous Search | p. 374 |
Appendix to Chapter 9: Sequential Search | p. 391 |
Section II Competing within Markets | p. 395 |
Chapter 10 Perfect Competition | p. 397 |
The Basics of Supply and Demand | p. 399 |
Competitive Equilibrium | p. 404 |
Decisions of the Competitive Firm | p. 405 |
Market Equilibrium | p. 408 |
Market Efficiency | p. 410 |
Private Markets: Benefits and Costs | p. 411 |
International Trade | p. 421 |
The Efficiency of Free Trade | p. 423 |
Chapter 11 Monopoly | p. 436 |
Pure Monopoly | p. 437 |
Barriers to Entry | p. 441 |
Perfect Competition Versus Pure Monopoly | p. 444 |
Cartels | p. 447 |
Natural Monopolies | p. 451 |
Monopolistic Competition | p. 455 |
Chapter 12 Oligopoly | p. 469 |
Oligopoly | p. 471 |
Industry Concentration | p. 473 |
Concentration and Prices | p. 477 |
Quantity Competition | p. 480 |
A Dominant Firm | p. 481 |
Competition among Symmetric Firms | p. 482 |
Price Competition | p. 485 |
Price Rigidity and Kinded Demand | p. 485 |
Price Wars and the Prisoner's Dilemma | p. 487 |
Other Dimensions of Competition | p. 493 |
Advertising | p. 493 |
Strategic Commitments | p. 496 |
Appendix to Chapter 12: Bundling and Tying | p. 508 |
Chapter 13 Game Theory and Competitive Strategy | p. 514 |
Sizing up Competitive Situations | p. 515 |
Analyzing Payoff Tables | p. 520 |
Equilibrium Strategies | p. 523 |
Competitive Strategy | p. 528 |
Market Entry | p. 530 |
Bargaining | p. 532 |
Sequential Competition | p. 533 |
Repeated Competition | p. 541 |
Multiple Players and Evolutionary Strategies | p. 545 |
Appendix to Chapter 13: Mixed Strategies | p. 564 |
Chapter 14 Regulation, Public Goods, and Benefit-Cost Analysis | p. 570 |
I Market Failures and Regulation | p. 572 |
Market Failure Due to Monopoly | p. 573 |
Government Responses | p. 574 |
Market Failure Due to Externalities | p. 580 |
Remedying Externalities | p. 584 |
Promoting Positive Externalities | p. 590 |
Market Failure Due to Imperfect Information | p. 594 |
II Benefit-Cost Analysis and Public Goods Provision | p. 597 |
Public Goods | p. 598 |
Public Goods and Efficiency | p. 598 |
The Basics of Benefit-Cost Analysis | p. 601 |
Applying the Net Benefit Rule | p. 602 |
Dollar Values | p. 602 |
Efficiency versus Equity | p. 603 |
Evaluating a Public Project | p. 605 |
Public Investment in a Bridge | p. 605 |
Valuing Benefits and Costs | p. 608 |
Market Values | p. 608 |
Nonmarketed Benefits and Costs | p. 609 |
Section III Decision-Making Applications | p. 627 |
Chapter 15 Asymmetric Information and Organizational Design | p. 629 |
Asymmetric Information | p. 630 |
Adverse Selection | p. 630 |
Signaling | p. 633 |
Principals, Agents, and Moral Hazard | p. 635 |
Organizational Design | p. 641 |
The Nature of the Firm | p. 641 |
The Breadth of the Firm | p. 643 |
Assigning Decision-Making Responsibilities | p. 644 |
Monitoring and Rewarding Performance | p. 650 |
Separation of Ownership and Control in the Modern Corporation | p. 658 |
Appendix to Chapter 15: A Principal-Agent Model | p. 674 |
Chapter 16 Bargaining and Negotiation | p. 678 |
The Economic Sources of Beneficial Agreements | p. 680 |
Resolving Disputes | p. 683 |
Differences in Values | p. 685 |
Contingent Contracts | p. 688 |
Multiple-Issue Negotiations | p. 689 |
Continuous Variables | p. 691 |
Negotiation Strategy | p. 693 |
Perfect Information | p. 694 |
Imperfect Information | p. 697 |
Chapter 17 Auctions and Competitive Bidding | p. 716 |
The Advantages of Auctions | p. 718 |
Bidder Strategies | p. 722 |
English and Dutch Auctions | p. 723 |
Sealed-Bid Auctions | p. 724 |
Common Values and the Winner's Curse | p. 732 |
Optimal Auctions | p. 735 |
Expected Auction Revenue | p. 735 |
Competitive Procurement | p. 739 |
Multi-Object Auctions | p. 741 |
The Spectrum Auctions | p. 741 |
Chapter 18 Linear Programming | p. 754 |
Linear Programs | p. 756 |
Graphing the LP Problem | p. 758 |
A Minimization Problem | p. 762 |
Sensitivity Analysis and Shadow Prices | p. 765 |
Changes in the Objective Function | p. 766 |
Shadow Prices | p. 768 |
Formulation and Computer Solution for Larger LP Problems | p. 773 |
Computer Solutions | p. 777 |
Appendix to Chapter 18: The Simplex Method | p. 793 |
Chapter 19 Capital Budgeting | p. 799 |
Present Value and Discounting | p. 800 |
Interest Rate Calculations | p. 801 |
Valuing Future Cash Flows | p. 802 |
Discounting and Valuation | p. 807 |
Making Investment Decisions | p. 809 |
A Single-Investment Decision | p. 810 |
Mutually Exclusive Choices | p. 813 |
Choices with Constrained Resources | p. 815 |
Determining the Discount Rate | p. 816 |
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 816 |
Appendix to Chapter 19: Present Value Tables | p. 828 |
Answers to Odd-Numbered Problems | p. 833 |
Index | p. 871 |