Cover image for Corporate valuation : a guide for managers and investors
Title:
Corporate valuation : a guide for managers and investors
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Publication Information:
Mason, Ohio : Thomson/South-Western, 2004.
ISBN:
9780324274288

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30000010124075 HG4028.V3 D38 2004 Open Access Book Book
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30000005120757 HG4028.V3 D38 2004 Open Access Book Book
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Summary

Summary

This book is intended for two audiences: investors who, as "outside" analysts, are assessing the investment potential of a firm, and managers, who as "inside" analysts, want to assess the impact of specific corporate strategy choices on shareholder value. Therefore, it should fit in well as a supplement to investments or corporate finance courses, at both undergraduate and MBA levels. It might also fit in with some accounting courses as a supplement. It has two significant advantages relative to other books and software on the topic of valuation. First the expository approach of the authors is very user-friendly, with a pedagogy designed to build confidence. They begin with a very simple, but complete example in the first couple of chapters that takes the reader through the valuation of a company. They repeat the analysis for successively more complex examples in chapters 3-4, and in chapters 5-7. This iterative approach emphasizes development of a working knowledge firms' financial statements and thorough understanding of how managers' strategic and operating policy choices influence financial outcomes. It allows the reader to absorb "digestible" amounts of material before moving on to the next level of complication. The second pedagogic advantage is the structure of their valuation spreadsheet. They show the reader how to get real world data, and how to cut-and-paste it into their spreadsheet. The spreadsheet simplifies the complex accounting found in most actual companies' financial statements and condenses it into a simplified set of standardized financial statements. This allows the user to concentrate on the fundamental economic forces that underlie a company's value. It will provide tools and insights for assessing a company's value, and it will provide insights into how to measure, manage, and maximize a company's value.


Table of Contents

About the Authorp. x
Prefacep. xii
Part 1 Basic Concepts of Corporate Valuationp. 1
Chapter 1 Why Corporate Valuation?p. 2
Introductionp. 2
Our Goalsp. 3
Our Approach: One Step at a Timep. 4
Discounted Cash Flow Techniquesp. 4
Accounting Skillsp. 6
Technology Skillsp. 6
Preview of What's Aheadp. 6
Summaryp. 7
Chapter 2 A Complete Corporate Valuation for a Simple Companyp. 8
Introductionp. 8
The Basic Concepts of Valuationp. 9
Valuing a Very Simple Companyp. 9
Investorsp. 9
The Corporate Valuation Modelp. 11
The Weighted Average Cost of Capitalp. 11
Calculating Free Cash Flowsp. 12
An Overview of Financial Statementsp. 13
The Balance Sheetp. 13
The Income Statementp. 14
Calculating Free Cash Flowsp. 15
Calculating NOPATp. 15
Calculating Operating Capitalp. 16
Free Cash Flowp. 17
Corporate Valuationp. 18
Corporate Performance: The Return on Invested Capitalp. 20
Applications of the Corporate Valuation Modelp. 22
Mergers and Acquisitionsp. 22
Value-Based Managementp. 23
Fundamental Investingp. 23
Summaryp. 23
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 24
Appendix 2 Comparing Bond and Stock Valuation Models with the Corporate Valuation Modelp. 26
Bond Pricingp. 26
The Discounted Dividend Model of Stock Pricingp. 27
The Uses of Free Cash Flowp. 28
Part 2 Intermediate Concepts of Corporate Valuationp. 29
Chapter 3 Financial Statements and Free Cash Flowp. 30
Introductionp. 30
What Is Cash Flow, Anyway?p. 31
When Do You Record It? A "Cruel" Rulep. 32
The Balance Sheetp. 33
The Income Statementp. 35
The Statement of Shareholder's Equityp. 37
The Statement of Cash Flowsp. 37
ACME's Free Cash Flowp. 42
Defining Free Cash Flowp. 42
ACME's Operating Performancep. 45
Summaryp. 46
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 46
Appendix 3 Reconciling Free Cash Flow with the Statement of Cash Flowsp. 48
Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACMEp. 51
Introductionp. 51
The Weighted Average Cost of Capitalp. 51
Risk and Returnp. 51
Estimating the Cost of Debtp. 52
Estimating the Cost of Common Stockp. 54
Estimating the Target Weightsp. 55
Putting the Pieces Together: Calculating the WACCp. 55
Estimating the Future Expected Free Cash Flowsp. 56
Alternative Valuation Approaches: The Method of Multiplesp. 61
Summaryp. 63
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 63
Appendix 4 Security Valuationp. 65
The Whole versus the Sum of the Partsp. 65
Fundamentals of Security Valuationp. 65
Part 3 Projecting Financial Statementsp. 77
Chapter 5 Projecting Free Cash Flowsp. 78
Introductionp. 78
Requirements for Useful Financial Projectionsp. 78
Van Leer, Inc.p. 79
Projecting Financial Statementsp. 81
Modeling the Financial Statementsp. 81
Choosing Inputs for the Modelp. 84
Calculating Free Cash Flowp. 88
Summaryp. 89
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 89
Chapter 6 Projecting Consistent Financial Statements: The Miracle of Accountingp. 92
Introductionp. 92
Financial Policies and Projecting Financial Statementsp. 92
Projecting Long-Term Debt and Dividendsp. 93
Making Balance Sheets Balance: The Plug Approachp. 94
Projecting Interest Expense and Interest Incomep. 95
Completing the Projections: Implementing the Financial Policiesp. 97
Projecting a Complete Income Statementp. 98
Projecting Complete Balance Sheetsp. 98
Checking Your Projections for Plausibilityp. 102
Summaryp. 104
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 105
Chapter 7 Multiyear Projections and Valuationp. 108
Introductionp. 108
One-Year versus Multiyear Projectionsp. 108
In the Short Run Anything Can Happen. In the Long Run...p. 111
Considerations for the Long Runp. 112
Projecting Operating Profitp. 112
Projecting Operating Capitalp. 114
Projecting Operating Taxesp. 118
Dividend and Debt Ratiosp. 118
The Projected Statementsp. 120
Balancingp. 120
Checking the Projectionsp. 120
Using Projections for Valuationp. 125
Summaryp. 126
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 127
Chapter 8 Technical Issues in Projecting Financial Statements and Forecasting Financing Needsp. 129
Introductionp. 129
When Projections Aren't a Percentage of Salesp. 130
Linear Model with Interceptp. 130
Nonlinear Modelsp. 132
Lumpy Assetsp. 134
Financial Modeling: Art versus Sciencep. 137
Alternative Financing Policiesp. 137
Alternative Dividend Policiesp. 137
Alternative Common Stock Policiesp. 142
Projecting Interest Expense Based on the Average Debt during the Yearp. 147
Algebraic Solution to Circularityp. 148
Spreadsheet Solution to Circularityp. 148
An Illustration Using Van Leerp. 149
Summaryp. 149
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 150
Part 4 Valuing Actual Companies with the Corporate Valuation Spreadsheetp. 153
Chapter 9 The Starting Point for Corporate Valuation: Historical Financial Statementsp. 154
Introductionp. 154
An Overview of the Corporate Valuation Spreadsheetp. 154
Step 1 Get the Actual Historical Financial Statements of a Companyp. 156
Step 2 Link the Actual Statements to the Comprehensive Statementsp. 156
Step 3 Condensing the Comprehensive Statementsp. 160
Step 4 Analyzing the Current and Historical Financial Position of the Companyp. 162
Step 5 Estimating the Weighted Average Cost of Capitalp. 163
Step 6 Choose the Inputs for Your Projectionsp. 163
Step 7 Completing the Valuationp. 163
Getting Financial Statements from the Internetp. 164
1. Thomson Financial and Thomson ONE-Business School Editionp. 164
2. Edgarp. 165
3. EdgarScanp. 165
4. Yahoo!p. 165
5. Company Web Pagesp. 165
Mapping Your Financial Statements from the Actual Worksheets into the Comprehensive Worksheetp. 166
Income Statementp. 167
Balance Sheetsp. 171
Required Special Itemsp. 177
Optional Special Itemsp. 178
Summaryp. 180
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 181
Appendix 9 Why We Condense the Financialsp. 182
Chapter 10 The Condensed Financial Statements and Historical Analysisp. 184
Introductionp. 184
The Condensed Statementsp. 184
Additional Detail on Operating Performancep. 185
Additional Detail on Nonoperating Performancep. 188
Adjustments Due to GAAPp. 190
Calculating Free Cash Flowp. 191
NOPAT Calculationp. 191
Free Cash Flow Calculationsp. 193
Analyzing Home Depot's Past and Present Conditionp. 195
Analysis of Ratios Required to Project Financial Statementsp. 196
Analysis of Traditional Ratios as Compared to Competitorsp. 199
Summaryp. 204
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 205
Appendix 10 Mapping the Comprehensive Statements to the Condensed Statements: Advanced Issues in Measuring Free Cash Flowsp. 206
Introductionp. 206
Overview of Financial Statement Adjustments and Condensingp. 206
Income Statementsp. 207
Balance Sheets: Current Assetsp. 208
Balance Sheets: Long-Term Assetsp. 209
Balance Sheets: Current Liabilitiesp. 209
Balance Sheets: Long-Term Liabilities and Equityp. 210
An Explanation of Complicated Accounting and the Impact on FCFp. 210
Goodwillp. 211
Minority Interestsp. 214
Investments and Advancesp. 217
Operating Leasesp. 217
Pension-Related Liabilitiesp. 219
LIFO Reservesp. 220
Foreign Currency Translationsp. 221
Employee Stock Optionsp. 222
Summaryp. 222
Chapter 11 Estimating the Weighted Average Cost of Capitalp. 223
Introductionp. 223
Estimating the Target Weightsp. 223
Estimating the Values of the Financing Componentsp. 224
Estimating the Target Weight for Long-Term Debtp. 226
Estimating the Target Weight for Short-Term Debtp. 226
Estimating the Target Weight for Preferred Stockp. 227
Estimating the Target Weight for Common Equityp. 227
Estimating the Cost of Long-Term Debtp. 228
Estimating the Cost of Short-Term Debtp. 233
Estimating the Cost of Preferred Stockp. 233
Estimating the Cost of Common Stockp. 234
Putting the Pieces Together: Calculating the WACCp. 235
Complications and Advanced Issuesp. 235
Convertible Securitiesp. 235
Privately Held Firms and Divisionsp. 237
Summaryp. 237
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 238
Chapter 12 Projecting Cash Flows for an Actual Company: Home Depotp. 240
Introductionp. 240
A Useful Perspective on Projectionsp. 240
The Mechanics of Projecting the Condensed Statementsp. 241
Using Fade Rates to Input Forecasted Growth Ratesp. 242
Using Fade Rates to Forecast Home Depot's Growth Ratesp. 250
Choosing the Other Inputs Needed to Project Free Cash Flowp. 252
Choosing the Inputs to Project NOPATp. 254
Choosing the Inputs to Project Operating Capitalp. 256
Choosing the Inputs to Calculate Operating Taxesp. 257
Choosing Inputs to Complete the Projectionsp. 257
Specifying the Dividend and Capital Structure Policiesp. 257
Specifying the Nonoperating Itemsp. 259
Specifying Interest Ratesp. 259
Completing the Inputsp. 260
Using Quarterly Data to Improve Your Inputsp. 260
Reviewing Your Choices of Inputsp. 262
Avoiding an Error in Your First Year's Projectionsp. 263
Spotting Errorsp. 264
Summaryp. 264
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 265
Appendix 12 Top-Down Analysisp. 266
The Macro Prospective: Global and Nationalp. 266
The Industry-Level Perspectivep. 266
The Firm-Level Point of Viewp. 268
Chapter 13 The Valuation of an Actual Company: Home Depotp. 269
Introductionp. 269
Horizon Value Methodsp. 269
The Continuing Value Horizon Formulap. 269
The Book Value Horizon Formulap. 271
The Convergence Value Horizon Formulap. 272
The General Value Horizon Formulap. 273
The Horizon Value for Home Depotp. 273
The Value of Operations for Home Depotp. 274
The Half-Year Adjustmentp. 275
Estimating the Value at Times Other than Fiscal Year-Endp. 276
The Valuation of Home Depotp. 277
Projections of Other Financial Measuresp. 281
Reverse Engineering/Scenario Analysisp. 284
Valuing a Company with a Changing Capital Structurep. 285
Summaryp. 285
Spreadsheet Problemsp. 286
Appendix 13 The Adjusted Present Value Methodp. 288
Capital Structure and the Value of a Companyp. 288
Too Much Debt and Bankruptcy Costsp. 289
Too Much Debt and Managerial Behaviorp. 290
Valuation When Debt Is Moderatep. 291
The Unlevered Value of Operationsp. 291
The Value of the Tax Shieldp. 292
Indexp. 295