Available:*
Library | Item Barcode | Call Number | Material Type | Item Category 1 | Status |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Searching... | 30000010124075 | HG4028.V3 D38 2004 | Open Access Book | Book | Searching... |
Searching... | 30000005120757 | HG4028.V3 D38 2004 | Open Access Book | Book | Searching... |
On Order
Summary
Summary
This book is intended for two audiences: investors who, as "outside" analysts, are assessing the investment potential of a firm, and managers, who as "inside" analysts, want to assess the impact of specific corporate strategy choices on shareholder value. Therefore, it should fit in well as a supplement to investments or corporate finance courses, at both undergraduate and MBA levels. It might also fit in with some accounting courses as a supplement. It has two significant advantages relative to other books and software on the topic of valuation. First the expository approach of the authors is very user-friendly, with a pedagogy designed to build confidence. They begin with a very simple, but complete example in the first couple of chapters that takes the reader through the valuation of a company. They repeat the analysis for successively more complex examples in chapters 3-4, and in chapters 5-7. This iterative approach emphasizes development of a working knowledge firms' financial statements and thorough understanding of how managers' strategic and operating policy choices influence financial outcomes. It allows the reader to absorb "digestible" amounts of material before moving on to the next level of complication. The second pedagogic advantage is the structure of their valuation spreadsheet. They show the reader how to get real world data, and how to cut-and-paste it into their spreadsheet. The spreadsheet simplifies the complex accounting found in most actual companies' financial statements and condenses it into a simplified set of standardized financial statements. This allows the user to concentrate on the fundamental economic forces that underlie a company's value. It will provide tools and insights for assessing a company's value, and it will provide insights into how to measure, manage, and maximize a company's value.
Table of Contents
About the Author | p. x |
Preface | p. xii |
Part 1 Basic Concepts of Corporate Valuation | p. 1 |
Chapter 1 Why Corporate Valuation? | p. 2 |
Introduction | p. 2 |
Our Goals | p. 3 |
Our Approach: One Step at a Time | p. 4 |
Discounted Cash Flow Techniques | p. 4 |
Accounting Skills | p. 6 |
Technology Skills | p. 6 |
Preview of What's Ahead | p. 6 |
Summary | p. 7 |
Chapter 2 A Complete Corporate Valuation for a Simple Company | p. 8 |
Introduction | p. 8 |
The Basic Concepts of Valuation | p. 9 |
Valuing a Very Simple Company | p. 9 |
Investors | p. 9 |
The Corporate Valuation Model | p. 11 |
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 11 |
Calculating Free Cash Flows | p. 12 |
An Overview of Financial Statements | p. 13 |
The Balance Sheet | p. 13 |
The Income Statement | p. 14 |
Calculating Free Cash Flows | p. 15 |
Calculating NOPAT | p. 15 |
Calculating Operating Capital | p. 16 |
Free Cash Flow | p. 17 |
Corporate Valuation | p. 18 |
Corporate Performance: The Return on Invested Capital | p. 20 |
Applications of the Corporate Valuation Model | p. 22 |
Mergers and Acquisitions | p. 22 |
Value-Based Management | p. 23 |
Fundamental Investing | p. 23 |
Summary | p. 23 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 24 |
Appendix 2 Comparing Bond and Stock Valuation Models with the Corporate Valuation Model | p. 26 |
Bond Pricing | p. 26 |
The Discounted Dividend Model of Stock Pricing | p. 27 |
The Uses of Free Cash Flow | p. 28 |
Part 2 Intermediate Concepts of Corporate Valuation | p. 29 |
Chapter 3 Financial Statements and Free Cash Flow | p. 30 |
Introduction | p. 30 |
What Is Cash Flow, Anyway? | p. 31 |
When Do You Record It? A "Cruel" Rule | p. 32 |
The Balance Sheet | p. 33 |
The Income Statement | p. 35 |
The Statement of Shareholder's Equity | p. 37 |
The Statement of Cash Flows | p. 37 |
ACME's Free Cash Flow | p. 42 |
Defining Free Cash Flow | p. 42 |
ACME's Operating Performance | p. 45 |
Summary | p. 46 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 46 |
Appendix 3 Reconciling Free Cash Flow with the Statement of Cash Flows | p. 48 |
Chapter 4 Estimating the Value of ACME | p. 51 |
Introduction | p. 51 |
The Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 51 |
Risk and Return | p. 51 |
Estimating the Cost of Debt | p. 52 |
Estimating the Cost of Common Stock | p. 54 |
Estimating the Target Weights | p. 55 |
Putting the Pieces Together: Calculating the WACC | p. 55 |
Estimating the Future Expected Free Cash Flows | p. 56 |
Alternative Valuation Approaches: The Method of Multiples | p. 61 |
Summary | p. 63 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 63 |
Appendix 4 Security Valuation | p. 65 |
The Whole versus the Sum of the Parts | p. 65 |
Fundamentals of Security Valuation | p. 65 |
Part 3 Projecting Financial Statements | p. 77 |
Chapter 5 Projecting Free Cash Flows | p. 78 |
Introduction | p. 78 |
Requirements for Useful Financial Projections | p. 78 |
Van Leer, Inc. | p. 79 |
Projecting Financial Statements | p. 81 |
Modeling the Financial Statements | p. 81 |
Choosing Inputs for the Model | p. 84 |
Calculating Free Cash Flow | p. 88 |
Summary | p. 89 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 89 |
Chapter 6 Projecting Consistent Financial Statements: The Miracle of Accounting | p. 92 |
Introduction | p. 92 |
Financial Policies and Projecting Financial Statements | p. 92 |
Projecting Long-Term Debt and Dividends | p. 93 |
Making Balance Sheets Balance: The Plug Approach | p. 94 |
Projecting Interest Expense and Interest Income | p. 95 |
Completing the Projections: Implementing the Financial Policies | p. 97 |
Projecting a Complete Income Statement | p. 98 |
Projecting Complete Balance Sheets | p. 98 |
Checking Your Projections for Plausibility | p. 102 |
Summary | p. 104 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 105 |
Chapter 7 Multiyear Projections and Valuation | p. 108 |
Introduction | p. 108 |
One-Year versus Multiyear Projections | p. 108 |
In the Short Run Anything Can Happen. In the Long Run... | p. 111 |
Considerations for the Long Run | p. 112 |
Projecting Operating Profit | p. 112 |
Projecting Operating Capital | p. 114 |
Projecting Operating Taxes | p. 118 |
Dividend and Debt Ratios | p. 118 |
The Projected Statements | p. 120 |
Balancing | p. 120 |
Checking the Projections | p. 120 |
Using Projections for Valuation | p. 125 |
Summary | p. 126 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 127 |
Chapter 8 Technical Issues in Projecting Financial Statements and Forecasting Financing Needs | p. 129 |
Introduction | p. 129 |
When Projections Aren't a Percentage of Sales | p. 130 |
Linear Model with Intercept | p. 130 |
Nonlinear Models | p. 132 |
Lumpy Assets | p. 134 |
Financial Modeling: Art versus Science | p. 137 |
Alternative Financing Policies | p. 137 |
Alternative Dividend Policies | p. 137 |
Alternative Common Stock Policies | p. 142 |
Projecting Interest Expense Based on the Average Debt during the Year | p. 147 |
Algebraic Solution to Circularity | p. 148 |
Spreadsheet Solution to Circularity | p. 148 |
An Illustration Using Van Leer | p. 149 |
Summary | p. 149 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 150 |
Part 4 Valuing Actual Companies with the Corporate Valuation Spreadsheet | p. 153 |
Chapter 9 The Starting Point for Corporate Valuation: Historical Financial Statements | p. 154 |
Introduction | p. 154 |
An Overview of the Corporate Valuation Spreadsheet | p. 154 |
Step 1 Get the Actual Historical Financial Statements of a Company | p. 156 |
Step 2 Link the Actual Statements to the Comprehensive Statements | p. 156 |
Step 3 Condensing the Comprehensive Statements | p. 160 |
Step 4 Analyzing the Current and Historical Financial Position of the Company | p. 162 |
Step 5 Estimating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 163 |
Step 6 Choose the Inputs for Your Projections | p. 163 |
Step 7 Completing the Valuation | p. 163 |
Getting Financial Statements from the Internet | p. 164 |
1. Thomson Financial and Thomson ONE-Business School Edition | p. 164 |
2. Edgar | p. 165 |
3. EdgarScan | p. 165 |
4. Yahoo! | p. 165 |
5. Company Web Pages | p. 165 |
Mapping Your Financial Statements from the Actual Worksheets into the Comprehensive Worksheet | p. 166 |
Income Statement | p. 167 |
Balance Sheets | p. 171 |
Required Special Items | p. 177 |
Optional Special Items | p. 178 |
Summary | p. 180 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 181 |
Appendix 9 Why We Condense the Financials | p. 182 |
Chapter 10 The Condensed Financial Statements and Historical Analysis | p. 184 |
Introduction | p. 184 |
The Condensed Statements | p. 184 |
Additional Detail on Operating Performance | p. 185 |
Additional Detail on Nonoperating Performance | p. 188 |
Adjustments Due to GAAP | p. 190 |
Calculating Free Cash Flow | p. 191 |
NOPAT Calculation | p. 191 |
Free Cash Flow Calculations | p. 193 |
Analyzing Home Depot's Past and Present Condition | p. 195 |
Analysis of Ratios Required to Project Financial Statements | p. 196 |
Analysis of Traditional Ratios as Compared to Competitors | p. 199 |
Summary | p. 204 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 205 |
Appendix 10 Mapping the Comprehensive Statements to the Condensed Statements: Advanced Issues in Measuring Free Cash Flows | p. 206 |
Introduction | p. 206 |
Overview of Financial Statement Adjustments and Condensing | p. 206 |
Income Statements | p. 207 |
Balance Sheets: Current Assets | p. 208 |
Balance Sheets: Long-Term Assets | p. 209 |
Balance Sheets: Current Liabilities | p. 209 |
Balance Sheets: Long-Term Liabilities and Equity | p. 210 |
An Explanation of Complicated Accounting and the Impact on FCF | p. 210 |
Goodwill | p. 211 |
Minority Interests | p. 214 |
Investments and Advances | p. 217 |
Operating Leases | p. 217 |
Pension-Related Liabilities | p. 219 |
LIFO Reserves | p. 220 |
Foreign Currency Translations | p. 221 |
Employee Stock Options | p. 222 |
Summary | p. 222 |
Chapter 11 Estimating the Weighted Average Cost of Capital | p. 223 |
Introduction | p. 223 |
Estimating the Target Weights | p. 223 |
Estimating the Values of the Financing Components | p. 224 |
Estimating the Target Weight for Long-Term Debt | p. 226 |
Estimating the Target Weight for Short-Term Debt | p. 226 |
Estimating the Target Weight for Preferred Stock | p. 227 |
Estimating the Target Weight for Common Equity | p. 227 |
Estimating the Cost of Long-Term Debt | p. 228 |
Estimating the Cost of Short-Term Debt | p. 233 |
Estimating the Cost of Preferred Stock | p. 233 |
Estimating the Cost of Common Stock | p. 234 |
Putting the Pieces Together: Calculating the WACC | p. 235 |
Complications and Advanced Issues | p. 235 |
Convertible Securities | p. 235 |
Privately Held Firms and Divisions | p. 237 |
Summary | p. 237 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 238 |
Chapter 12 Projecting Cash Flows for an Actual Company: Home Depot | p. 240 |
Introduction | p. 240 |
A Useful Perspective on Projections | p. 240 |
The Mechanics of Projecting the Condensed Statements | p. 241 |
Using Fade Rates to Input Forecasted Growth Rates | p. 242 |
Using Fade Rates to Forecast Home Depot's Growth Rates | p. 250 |
Choosing the Other Inputs Needed to Project Free Cash Flow | p. 252 |
Choosing the Inputs to Project NOPAT | p. 254 |
Choosing the Inputs to Project Operating Capital | p. 256 |
Choosing the Inputs to Calculate Operating Taxes | p. 257 |
Choosing Inputs to Complete the Projections | p. 257 |
Specifying the Dividend and Capital Structure Policies | p. 257 |
Specifying the Nonoperating Items | p. 259 |
Specifying Interest Rates | p. 259 |
Completing the Inputs | p. 260 |
Using Quarterly Data to Improve Your Inputs | p. 260 |
Reviewing Your Choices of Inputs | p. 262 |
Avoiding an Error in Your First Year's Projections | p. 263 |
Spotting Errors | p. 264 |
Summary | p. 264 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 265 |
Appendix 12 Top-Down Analysis | p. 266 |
The Macro Prospective: Global and National | p. 266 |
The Industry-Level Perspective | p. 266 |
The Firm-Level Point of View | p. 268 |
Chapter 13 The Valuation of an Actual Company: Home Depot | p. 269 |
Introduction | p. 269 |
Horizon Value Methods | p. 269 |
The Continuing Value Horizon Formula | p. 269 |
The Book Value Horizon Formula | p. 271 |
The Convergence Value Horizon Formula | p. 272 |
The General Value Horizon Formula | p. 273 |
The Horizon Value for Home Depot | p. 273 |
The Value of Operations for Home Depot | p. 274 |
The Half-Year Adjustment | p. 275 |
Estimating the Value at Times Other than Fiscal Year-End | p. 276 |
The Valuation of Home Depot | p. 277 |
Projections of Other Financial Measures | p. 281 |
Reverse Engineering/Scenario Analysis | p. 284 |
Valuing a Company with a Changing Capital Structure | p. 285 |
Summary | p. 285 |
Spreadsheet Problems | p. 286 |
Appendix 13 The Adjusted Present Value Method | p. 288 |
Capital Structure and the Value of a Company | p. 288 |
Too Much Debt and Bankruptcy Costs | p. 289 |
Too Much Debt and Managerial Behavior | p. 290 |
Valuation When Debt Is Moderate | p. 291 |
The Unlevered Value of Operations | p. 291 |
The Value of the Tax Shield | p. 292 |
Index | p. 295 |