Cover image for A brief introduction to probability and statistics
Title:
A brief introduction to probability and statistics
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Publication Information:
Pacific Grove, Calif. : Duxbury/Thomson Learning, 2002
Physical Description:
1 v + 1 CD-ROM (CP 2327)
ISBN:
9780534387778

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30000010018809 QA273 M52 2002 Open Access Book Book
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Summary

Summary

This brief version of the authors' classic text retains the traditional outline for the coverage of descriptive and inferential statistics. The user-friendly presentation includes features such as Key Concepts and Formulas, and helps students grasp the material while not sacrificing the statistical integrity of the subject. MINITABO (Versions 12 and 13) is used exclusively as the computer package for statistical analysis in this text."


Table of Contents

Introduction: An Invitation to Statisticsp. 1
The Population and the Samplep. 3
Descriptive and Inferential Statisticsp. 3
Achieving the Objective of Inferential Statistics: The Necessary Stepsp. 4
1 Describing Data with Graphsp. 7
1.1 Variables and Datap. 8
1.2 Types of Variablesp. 10
1.3 Graphs for Categorical Datap. 11
1.4 Graphs for Quantitative Datap. 18
1.5 Relative Frequency Histogramsp. 25
About Minitab--Introduction to Minitabp. 34
Case Study How Is Your Blood Pressure?p. 45
2 Describing Data with Numerical Measuresp. 47
2.1 Describing a Set of Data with Numerical Measuresp. 48
2.2 Measures of Centerp. 48
2.3 Measures of Variabilityp. 55
2.4 On the Practical Significance of the Standard Deviationp. 62
2.5 A Check on the Calculation of sp. 66
2.6 Measures of Relative Standingp. 72
2.7 The Box Plotp. 77
About Minitab--Numerical Descriptive Measuresp. 84
Case Study The Boys of Summerp. 91
3 Describing Bivariate Datap. 93
3.1 Bivariate Datap. 94
3.2 Graphs for Qualitative Variablesp. 94
3.3 Scatterplots for Two Quantitative Variablesp. 98
3.4 Numerical Measures for Quantitative Bivariate Datap. 100
About Minitab--Describing Bivariate Datap. 108
Case Study Do You Think Your Dishes Are Really Clean?p. 116
4 Probability and Probability Distributionsp. 118
4.1 The Role of Probability in Statisticsp. 119
4.2 Events and the Sample Spacep. 119
4.3 Calculating Probabilities Using Simple Eventsp. 123
4.4 Useful Counting Rules (Optional)p. 130
4.5 Event Composition and Event Relationsp. 138
4.6 Conditional Probability and Independencep. 141
4.7 Bayes' Rule (Optional)p. 152
4.8 Discrete Random Variables and Their Probability Distributionsp. 158
About Minitab--Discrete Probability Distributionsp. 169
Case Study Probability and Decision Making in the Congop. 177
5 Several Useful Discrete Distributionsp. 179
5.1 Introductionp. 180
5.2 The Binomial Probability Distributionp. 180
5.3 The Poisson Probability Distributionp. 193
5.4 The Hypergeometric Probability Distributionp. 199
About Minitab--Binomial and Poisson Probabilitiesp. 203
Case Study A Mystery: Cancers Near a Reactorp. 212
6 The Normal Probability Distributionp. 214
6.1 Probability Distributions for Continuous Random Variablesp. 215
6.2 The Normal Probability Distributionp. 217
6.3 Tabulated Areas of the Normal Probability Distributionp. 218
6.4 The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Probability Distribution (Optional)p. 228
About Minitab--Normal Probabilitiesp. 236
Case Study The Long and the Short of Itp. 242
7 Sampling Distributionsp. 244
7.1 Introductionp. 245
7.2 Sampling Plans and Experimental Designsp. 245
7.3 Statistics and Sampling Distributionsp. 250
7.4 The Central Limit Theoremp. 253
7.5 The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Meanp. 256
7.6 The Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportionp. 263
7.7 A Sampling Application: Statistical Process Control (Optional)p. 268
About Minitab--The Central Limit Theorem at Workp. 276
Case Study Sampling the Roulette at Monte Carlop. 284
8 Large-Sample Estimationp. 286
8.1 Where We've Beenp. 287
8.2 Where We're Going--Statistical Inferencep. 287
8.3 Types of Estimatorsp. 289
8.4 Point Estimationp. 289
8.5 Interval Estimationp. 298
8.6 Estimating the Difference Between Two Population Meansp. 308
8.7 Estimating the Difference Between Two Binomial Proportionsp. 314
8.8 One-Sided Confidence Boundsp. 319
8.9 Choosing the Sample Sizep. 320
Case Study How Reliable Is That Poll?p. 334
9 Large-Sample Tests of Hypothesesp. 336
9.1 Testing Hypotheses about Population Parametersp. 337
9.2 A Statistical Test of Hypothesisp. 337
9.3 A Large-Sample Test about a Population Meanp. 341
9.4 A Large-Sample Test of Hypothesis for the Difference between Two Population Meansp. 354
9.5 A Large-Sample Test of Hypothesis for a Binomial Proportionp. 361
9.6 A Large-Sample Test of Hypothesis for the Difference between Two Binomial Proportionsp. 366
9.7 Some Comments on Testing Hypothesesp. 372
Case Study An Aspirin a Day ...?p. 379
10 Inference from Small Samplesp. 382
10.1 Introductionp. 383
10.2 Student's t Distributionp. 383
10.3 Small-Sample Inferences Concerning a Population Meanp. 387
10.4 Small-Sample Inferences for the Difference between Two Population Means: Independent Random Samplesp. 395
10.5 Small-Sample Inferences for the Difference between Two Means: A Paired-Difference Testp. 406
10.6 Inferences Concerning a Population Variancep. 416
10.7 Comparing Two Population Variancesp. 424
10.8 Revisiting the Small-Sample Assumptionsp. 432
About Minitab--Small-Sample Testing and Estimationp. 434
Case Study How Would You Like a Four-Day Work Week?p. 449
11 The Analysis of Variancep. 451
11.1 The Design of an Experimentp. 452
11.2 What Is an Analysis of Variance?p. 453
11.3 The Assumptions for an Analysis of Variancep. 454
11.4 The Completely Randomized Design: A One-Way Classificationp. 454
11.5 The Analysis of Variance for a Completely Randomized Designp. 455
11.6 Ranking Population Meansp. 468
11.7 Revisiting the Analysis of Variance Assumptionsp. 472
11.8 A Brief Summaryp. 477
About Minitab--Analysis of Variance Proceduresp. 478
Case Study "Are You at Risk?"p. 482
12 Linear Regression and Correlationp. 484
12.1 Introductionp. 485
12.2 A Simple Linear Probabilistic Modelp. 485
12.3 The Method of Least Squaresp. 488
12.4 An Analysis of Variance for Linear Regressionp. 491
12.5 Testing the Usefulness of the Linear Regression Modelp. 495
12.6 Estimation and Prediction Using the Fitted Linep. 503
12.7 Revisiting the Regression Assumptionsp. 510
12.8 Correlation Analysisp. 515
About Minitab--Linear Regression Proceduresp. 522
Case Study Is Your Car "Made in the U.S.A."?p. 530
13 Analysis of Categorical Datap. 533
13.1 A Description of the Experimentp. 534
13.2 Pearson's Chi-Square Statisticp. 535
13.3 Testing Specified Cell Probabilities: The Goodness-of-Fit Testp. 536
13.4 Contingency Tables: A Two-Way Classificationp. 541
13.5 Comparing Several Multinomial Populations: A Two-Way Classification with Fixed Row or Column Totalsp. 548
13.6 The Equivalence of Statistical Testsp. 554
13.7 Other Applications of the Chi-Square Testp. 555
About Minitab--The Chi-Square Testp. 557
Case Study Can a Marketing Approach Improve Library Services?p. 567
Appendix I Tablesp. 569
Table 1 Cumulative Binomial Probabilitiesp. 569
Table 2 Cumulative Poisson Probabilitiesp. 576
Table 3 Normal Curve Areasp. 578
Table 4 Critical Values of tp. 579
Table 5 Critical Values of Chi-Squarep. 580
Table 6 Percentage Points of the F Distributionp. 582
Table 7 Random Numbersp. 590
Table 8 Percentage Points of the Studentized Range, q(k, df)p. 592
Answers to Selected Exercisesp. 596
Indexp. 615