Title:
Making hard decisions with DecisionTools
Personal Author:
Edition:
3rd ed.
Publication Information:
Mason, OH : South-Western, Cengage Learning, c2014
Physical Description:
xxvi, 816 p. : ill. ; 24 cm.
ISBN:
9780538797573
Title Subject:
Added Author:
Available:*
Library | Item Barcode | Call Number | Material Type | Item Category 1 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Searching... | 35000000001580 | HD30.23 C53 2014 | Open Access Book | Book | Searching... |
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Summary
Summary
MAKING HARD DECISIONS WITH DECISIONTOOLS#65533; is a new edition of Bob Clemen's best-selling title, MAKING HARD DECISIONS. This straightforward book teaches the fundamental ideas of decision analysis, without an overly technical explanation of the mathematics used in decision analysis. This new version incorporates and implements the powerful DecisionTools#65533; software by Palisade Corporation, the world's leading toolkit for risk and decision analysis. At the end of each chapter, topics are illustrated with step-by-step instructions for DecisionTools#65533;. This new version makes the text more useful and relevant to students in business and engineering.
Table of Contents
| 1 Introduction to Decision Analysis |
| Section I Modeling Decisions |
| 2 Elements of Decision Problems |
| 3 Structuring Decisions |
| 4 Making Choices |
| 5 Sensitivity Analysis |
| 6 Organizational Decision Making |
| Section II Modeling Uncertainty |
| 7 Probability Basics |
| 8 Subjective Probability |
| 9 Theoretical Probability Models |
| 10 Using Data |
| 11 Monte Carlo Simulation |
| 12 Value of Information |
| 13 Real Options |
| Section III Modeling Preferences |
| 14 Risk Attitudes |
| 15 Utility Axioms, Paradoxes, and Implications |
| 16 Conflicting Objectives I: Fundamental Objectives and the Additive Utility Function |
| Section IV Addictive Utility Function |
| 17 Conflicting Objectives II: Multiattribute Utility Models with Interactions |
| 18 Conclusions and Further Reading |
