Cover image for Decisions under uncertainty : probabilistic analysis for engineering decisions
Title:
Decisions under uncertainty : probabilistic analysis for engineering decisions
Personal Author:
Publication Information:
Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2005
ISBN:
9780521782777

Available:*

Library
Item Barcode
Call Number
Material Type
Item Category 1
Status
Searching...
30000004996512 TA340 J67 2005 Open Access Book Book
Searching...

On Order

Summary

Summary

To better understand the core concepts of probability and to see how they affect real-world decisions about design and system performance, engineers and scientists might want to ask themselves the following questions: what exactly is meant by probability? What is the precise definition of the 100-year load and how is it calculated? What is an 'extremal' probability distribution? What is the Bayesian approach? How is utility defined? How do games fit into probability theory? What is entropy? How do I apply these ideas in risk analysis? Starting from the most basic assumptions, this 2005 book develops a coherent theory of probability and broadens it into applications in decision theory, design, and risk analysis. This book is written for engineers and scientists interested in probability and risk. It can be used by undergraduates, graduate students, or practicing engineers.


Table of Contents

1 Uncertainty and decision-making
2 The concept of probability
3 Distributions and expectation
4 The concept of utility
5 Games and optimization
6 Entropy
7 Mathematical aspects
8 Exchangeability and inference
9 Extremes
10 Risk, safety and reliability
11 Data and simulation
12 Conclusion
Appendix